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my_nightmare

My Nightmare – help make it My Dream

by Ed Averill eda@acm.org

As a Baby Boomer, I grew up into Sputnik and the Space Race. Learned all about Science and became an engineer. Came to Tektronix in Beaverton and worked many years. Retired several times in the early 2000s. Helped Obama get elected a couple of times.

Bill McKibben's 350.org formed in about 2007, did the “Do the Math” tour in 2012, and that woke me to the fact that the climate crisis was working against a budget limit that wasn't as far away as people wanted to think.

In the next 5 years the climate picture got much worse. The approach to the budget limit was happening ever faster, both because we hadn't understood that multiple greenhouse gasses made it more complicated and because of the lies of the fossil fuel industry.

We now know that we need to get off fossil fuels in about 20 years or expect problems to be immense – maybe immense enough to end human life on earth.

Many people haven't caught up to the fact that this is an emergency, now.

The west coast of California, Oregon, Washington, and British Columbia have done many good things toward getting climate right. Now, we have the 2017 legislative session to bring Oregon into alignment with what needs to happen.

We need to establish a process that lets us manage by a clear budget with controls that will work.

A staff driven budget: The clear budget comes from science that will get better informed over time. We need staff in an appropriate state agency to track that and translate it to drive us on the right path, biennium by biennium.

Staff and legislature to control: The control to put us on track and keep us there is the Carbon Tax. If we are above target usage, the Carbon Tax must go up appropriately.

Note that investment in fossil fuel infrastructure comes from a wish to sustain or grow the fossil fuel market, and that is just plain in the wrong direction. No new fossil fuel infrastructure should be tolerated.

Because the Carbon Tax generates a dividend, that dividend must be invested wisely to:

  1. Support maintenance and transformation to green energy of transportation infrastructure.
  2. Support the creation of green energy infrastructure, especially for those in most need of help.
  3. Support upgrading of housing and other buildings to become energy efficient, especially for the people most in need of the help.

One decade will make energy cheap: Because the cost of green energy has been coming down in price by nearly the same change slope as transistors, parity is going to change to overwhelmingly cheaper within a decade.

By helping the west coast set the good example, in 20 years, instead of being lemmings going over a cliff, we will be entering a golden age of cheap, clean energy. Of course, it WILL take the whole world helping. But good examples help form good trends, and we're in a position to help with that.

We need this legislative session to set things moving in the right direction.

For reference:

THE SKY’S LIMIT:

WHY THE PARIS CLIMATE GOALS REQUIRE A MANAGED DECLINE OF FOSSIL FUEL PRODUCTION

by Oil Change International

http://priceofoil.org/content/uploads/2016/09/OCI_the_skys_limit_2016_FINAL_2.pdf

Clean Disruption - Why Energy & Transportation will be Obsolete by 2030 - Oslo, March 2016 Tony Seba – on market handling technology shifts – very entertaining talk.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kxryv2XrnqM&t=1840s

Do the Math - The Movie | Official Trailer

350.org

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-zfinOCgRQ0

my_nightmare.txt · Last modified: 2017/02/14 20:50 by admin